Urban Planning of Desert Human Settlements in Iraq

Urban Planning of Desert Human Settlements in Iraq

Yazan Yassen Jabbar Mutar* Amjad Rahim Mohammed Abdullah

Center for Strategic Studies, University of Anbar, Anbar 31001, Iraq

Geography Department, College of Education for Humanities, University of Anbar, Anbar 31001, Iraq

Corresponding Author Email: 
yazan.yassen@uoanbar.edu.iq
Page: 
3045-3055
|
DOI: 
https://doi.org/10.18280/ijsdp.200729
Received: 
17 April 2025
|
Revised: 
27 June 2025
|
Accepted: 
10 July 2025
|
Available online: 
31 July 2025
| Citation

© 2025 The authors. This article is published by IIETA and is licensed under the CC BY 4.0 license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

OPEN ACCESS

Abstract: 

The research aims to demonstrate indicators of sustainable urban development in the desert city of Iraq and to present a sustainable urban model and policies for the city of Al-Nukhayb. The research relied on the descriptive, functional and analytical approaches, in addition to the field study, as 233 questionnaire forms were used and distributed to a random sample of the city's residents, i.e., 42% of the size of the studied community, with a confidence level of 95% and an error rate of 5%, during 15-25 May 2024. The research results showed that the per capita share of all urban land uses in the city of Al-Nukhayb is higher than the local planning standard, due to the small population of the city, which reached 2414 people in 2023 AD, and thus it is within the standards of small cities. The best alternative for sustainable urban development is the Desert Rose City with multiple uses, which is shaped like a rose in the desert, which helps it reduce electricity consumption, and depends on renewable energy that it will produce itself. The city also includes its own facility for recycling waste, similar to the sustainable city in the Al-Ruwayyah area in the Emirate of Dubai in the United Arab Emirates. The city also achieves functional efficiency for community services (health, education, entertainment) according to the survey standard and population number, with low functional efficiency for health and education services compared to other standards.

Keywords: 

sustainable urban development, index, city, future generations

1. Introduction

Sustainable urban development is a vital and effective field that contributes fundamentally to meeting the needs of city residents, both now and in the future. Alternatives (models) will be developed using the Delphi comparison method, along with a set of sustainable policies for the city of Al-Nukhayb in Anbar Governorate, Iraq, with the aim of creating a sustainable urban environment that reduces the negative environmental impacts generated by cities and meets present and future needs.

1.1 Research problem

The city of Al-Nukhayb suffers from multiple urban development problems. These problems can be summarized in the following questions:

1) What is the reality of sustainable urban development in the city of Al-Nukhayb?

2) Is there a possibility of achieving sustainable urban development in the city of Al-Nukhayb?

1.2 Research hypothesis

H1: There is a clear disparity in sustainable urban development indicators in the city of Al-Nukhayb.

H2: There is a possibility of achieving sustainable urban development in the city of Al-Nukhayb.

1.3 Research objective

1) To identify sustainable urban development indicators in the city of Al-Nukhayb.

2) To present a sustainable urban model for the city of Al-Nukhayb.

2. Literature Review

Preparing desert cities according to the dimensions of sustainable development - the new city of Hassi Messaoud, Algeria, as a model [1].

The research aimed to shed light on the relationship between desert cities and sustainability. It concluded that the city represents a model that achieves integration between sustainable development and the desert environment, embodied through the urban structure and the attempt to invest in the natural environment without depletion or pollution, with a recommendation to invest in clean energy (wind and solar energy).

Tourism Development Strategy in Anbar Governorate [2]: This research addressed the importance of tourism in the desert governorate of Anbar in Iraq, identifying its natural resources and tourism infrastructure, and then presenting models of desert areas that were able to establish sustainable cities, such as the Desert Rose model in the city of Al-Ruwayyah in the Emirate of Dubai in the United Arab Emirates, which is a sustainable, multi-use city, shaped like a rose in the desert, which helps it reduce electricity consumption, and depends on renewable energy that it will produce itself. The city also includes its own facility for recycling waste.

The reality and trends of urban growth of small cities in Al-Mahawil District [3]: This research sheds light on the repeated neglect of development programs and strategic plans for small cities with population sizes ranging between 5,000 and 20,000 people, which were represented by three regions (Nile, Project, Imam). The research also addressed the reasons for growth that are not subject to geographical controls, indicating that human, economic, demographic, historical and political factors play a role in the emergence of cities. The research also showed the future vision for urban growth and the need for land in the year 2025 AD, identifying the trends that stand in the way of urban expansion of the cities of the study area and determining the appropriate directions for their growth.

A study in Regional Geography of Al-Nukhayb District [4]: The research aimed to address the geographical character of Al-Nukhayb District, reveal the economic and social activities, clarify the existing reality and identify the obstacles that prevent the development of the district in all fields. The research also concluded that the district was a small village and by an administrative decision it was transformed into a district and was not a place of stability and residence to a large extent, but rather a place of migration and movement. It also suffers from many problems at the service level. On the other hand, the district’s territory contains many geographical resources and potentials that can be invested for development purposes.

3. Research Methodology and Approaches

The research relied on the descriptive, functional, and analytical approaches, as well as computer programs, GPS (GIS v10.8), Google Maps, library sources, and field studies. The questionnaire was distributed to a random sample of residents of the city of Al-Nukhayb, with a confidence level of 95% and an error rate of 5%. The number of questionnaires distributed to families amounted to 233, representing 42% of the size of the studied community. The sample size was calculated according to the following mathematical equation [5]:

$n=\frac{N}{1+N(e)^2}$

where,

n = sample size

N = size of the studied community

e = error rate

3.1 Location and boundaries of the research area

The city of Al-Nukhayb is geographically located in the southwestern part of Iraq and south of Anbar Governorate. It is administratively affiliated with the Rutba District and is considered part of the Northern Badia. Astronomically, it is located between latitudes 32°4′16″N to 32°1′10″N and longitude 42°16′32″E to 42°14′24″E, which are the borders drawn by the basic design map with an area of 1,098 hectares (Figure 1). As for the temporal borders, they were represented by the year 2023 by relying on data issued by government agencies regarding community services, and the population for the same year amounting to 2,414 people [6].

Figure 1. Location of the city of Al-Nukhayb in relation to Iraq and Anbar governorate [7, 8]

4. Results and Analysis

4.1 Urban land uses in the city of Al-Nukhayb and future needs

The city of Al-Nukhayb is considered a small city according to the Iraqi index, which defines it as a city with a population of 25,000 [9], while its 2023 population reached 2,414 [10]. The urban land use area is 1,098 hectares, as shown in Table 1 and Figure 2.

Figure 2. Urban land use in the city of Al-Nukhayb for the year 2019 [11]

Table 1. Land use area in Al-Nukhayb City in 2023 and per capita share (m2) by 2023, 2030 [12-14]

Required Area (m²) for Urban Land Uses in Al-Nukhayb City by 2030

Per Capita Share (m²) Criterion

Per Capita Share (m²)

Ratio (%)

Area (ha)

Area (m²)

Use

235,200

50

212.9

4.6%

51.4

514,033

Current Residential Use

-

-

-

8.8%

97.5

975,132

Proposed Residential Use

-

-

-

0.50%

5.5

54,551

Vertical Residential Use

37,632

8

69.2

1.5%

16.7

167,146

Industrial Use

143,001

30.4

88.4

11.8%

129.8

1,298,379

Recreational Use

5,315.6

1.13

3.8

1.1%

13.0

129,946

Healthcare Use

94,080

20

1,744

38.3%

421.1

4,211,000

Transportation Use

18,816

4

234.7

5.1%

56.7

566,698

Commercial Use

588

0.125

16.9

0.37%

4.1

40,800

Religious Use

10,349

2.20

176.3

3.8%

42.6

425,821

Educational Use

13,642

2.9

436.1

9.5%

105.3

1,052,909

Administrative Use

-

-

-

7.5%

83.4

834,092

Green Area

-

-

-

1.6%

17.8

178,150

Agricultural Areas

-

-

-

4.8%

53.1

531,209

Valley (Vacant Land)

470,400

100

853.94

100%

1,098

10,979,866

Total

The areas of each urban land use in the city of Al-Nukhayb for the year 2023 and their geographical distribution, in addition to the individual share and the standard of person share of each use, to show that the individual share of all uses exceeds the local planning standard mentioned in the same table. The urban land use in the city will be studied as follows:

First: Residential use: This use in the city of Al-Nukhayb occupied an area of 514,033 m2 (51.4 ha), representing 4.6% of the total area. The city included 11 residential neighborhoods and 313 residential houses occupied by 557 families.

Second: Commercial use: The commercial use area in the city of Al-Nukhayb amounted to 566,698 m2, equivalent to 56.7 hectares, representing 5.1% of the city's total area, comprising 16 commercial establishments, ranging from food and construction materials to other goods.

Third: Industrial use: The area in the city of Al-Nukhayb amounted to 167,146 m2, equivalent to 16.7 hectares, representing 1.5% of the total urban land use area, comprising 18 industrial establishments, including auto and home appliance repair shops, one blacksmith shop, and one concrete block production plant.

Fourth: Land use for transportation purposes: It occupied an area of 4,211,000 m2, equivalent to 421.1 hectares, constituting 38.3% of the city's total area.

Fifth: Service use: It includes:

  1. Religious use: Its area reached 40,800 m2, equivalent to 4.1 hectares, and a percentage of 0.37% of the total area. This area was occupied by only one mosque (Al-Ihsan Mosque).
  2. Land uses for infrastructure services and public buildings, which occupied an area of 1,052,909 m2, equivalent to 105.3 hectares, and a percentage of 9.5% of the total land use area. Which included a number of governmental institutions, the number of which reached 13 institutions, and the most important infrastructure services such as potable water services represented by the Nukhayb Water Division, which has two stations for desalination and purification of groundwater, Station No. (1) and Station No. (2), which supply the city with a rate of 1280 m3/day of potable water [15]. It was noted during the field study that there are a number of residents who own private wells inside their residential homes to compensate for the shortage of water during the period of its interruption. Electricity services: As the city's national electricity supply has been completely depleted, the state has resorted to supplying the city with two government-run generators with a production capacity of 1000 kVA [16], supplying the city with 9 hours of electricity in the summer, divided between 12 pm–6 pm and 6 pm–12 am. Operation in the winter only occurs at night for 6 hours from 6 pm–12 am. The city is also equipped with an electrical wiring network that reaches all residential buildings. As for sewage services, they are completely devoid of a network.

Sixth: Community services, which include:

  1. Health land uses: The area of health land uses in the city of Al-Nukhayb amounted to 129,946 m2, equivalent to 19 hectares, representing 1.1% of the total area, represented by the Al-Nukhayb Health Center, which included a medical staff of 4 individuals compared to 3 health professionals. In addition to one private sector medical clinic in the same neighborhood with only one medical assistant working [17]. When compared with the Iraqi planning standards, it becomes clear that the city has enough health center in it according to the local surveying standard that determined the need of the residential neighborhood with a population of 10,000 people for one health center with an area of no less than 5,000 m2 [18]. As for the other standards, they vary, as shown in Table 2.
  2. Educational land uses: Its area reached 425821 m2, equivalent to 42.6 hectares, at a rate of 3.8% of the total area. It included three schools, in which 1085 students study, as shown in Table 3. When comparing the reality with the local planning standards, it appears that the city is sufficient in the number of schools according to the surveying standard that specified one primary school for every 2,500 people with an area of 5,000-6,000 m2, and one secondary school for every 5000 people [19], while there is a discrepancy in the other local standards, as shown in Table 4.
  3. Recreational land uses: Recreational and green land uses in the city of Al-Nukhayb occupied an area of 2,132,471 m2, 213.2 hectares, equivalent to 11.8% of the total land use area. This area represented the green strips on the sides of the roads and some internal gardens that need sustainable care. The city lacks all the local recreational services mentioned in Table 5, which require a certain population to establish them.

Table 2. Iraqi standards for health services [20]

Indicator

Population

Indicator

Negative (1-)

Per 1000 people

One doctor

(+1) Positive

Per 2000 people

One dentist

Positive

Per 2000 people

One pharmacist

Negative (2-)

400-500 people

Health Careers One

(-6) Negative

Per 200 people

One bed

Negative (1-)

For every 3 health professions

One doctor

Positive

For every 5-6 beds

One doctor

(+1) Excessive Positive

For every 3 beds

Health Careers One

Table 3. Educational services in the city of Al-Nukhayb [21]

T

School Name

The Site

Year of Establishment

Number of Students

Number of Teaching Staff

The People Are a Number

School Time

School Autonomy

1

Al-Moatasem Mixed Elementary School

Old Al-Nukhayb neighborhood - inside the neighborhood

1962

586

9

10

A.M

Original

2

M mixed Nukhayb

Old Al-Nukhayb neighborhood-

Main Street

2008

308

4

8

A.M

Original

3

On the martyr Ornes Al-Hathal mixed

Old Al-Nukhayb neighborhood - Main Street

2023

191

4

8

P.M.

Guest with M / Al-Nukhayb Mixed

Table 4. Local planning standards for educational services [22]

Educational Stage

Standard Name

Planning Standard

Indicator

Primary education

School / Student

300-360

266-

Student / Teacher

20-25

40-

Student / Class

25-30

29-

Secondary education (middle and preparatory)

Student / School

540

M mixed Nukhayb (+191)

On the martyr Ornes Al-Hathal mixed (259+)

Student / Teacher

18-25

M mixed Nukhayb (-2)

On the martyr Ornes Al-Hathal mixed (-1)

Student / Section

25-30

M mixed Nukhayb (-9)

On the martyr Ornes Al-Hathal mixed (1+)

Table 5. Local planning standards for recreational services [23]

T

Type of Entertainment Service

Type of Entertainment Service

Standard

Area (m2)

1

Public parks

Public parks

1/ 10,000 people

10,000

2

Parks

Parks

1/ 10,000 people

15,000

3

Public libraries

Public libraries

1/ 50,000 people

15,000

4

Youth centers

Youth centers

1/ 20,000 people

15,000

5

Sports clubs

Sports clubs

1/ 50,000 people

15,000

6

Sports fields

Sports fields

1/ 25,000 people

40,000- 50,000

7

Sports arenas

Sports arenas

1/ 12,000 people

5,000-6,000

8

Sports halls

Sports halls

1/ 25,000 people

25,000

9

Leisure hotels

Leisure hotels

1/ 50,000 people

30,000

10

Entertainment restaurant

Entertainment restaurant

1/ 12,000 people

3,600

11

Cafes

Cafes

1/ 4,500 people

-

12

Games cities

Games cities

1/ 40,000 people

20,000

13

Museums

Museums

1/ 40.000 people

10,000

14

Swimming pools

Swimming pools

1/ 50.000 people

15,000

15

Wedding halls

Wedding halls

1/ 45.000 people

4,500

As for the future need for urban land, it is necessary to determine it in order to create sustainable urban development that guarantees the needs of future generations. To estimate the expected population of the city of Al-Nukhayb, the year 2030 AD was chosen as the target year in line with the Sustainable Development Goals (2030 SDGS), and according to the population projection equation, the population will reach 4704 people [24], and according to the data in Table 5, urban land uses will be able to contain this population.

4.2 Applying the Delphi method to achieve sustainable urban development in the city of Al-Nukhayb

This method has been used in some geographical studies, particularly those on future trends, concerned with organizing space through the modern approach to geographical research, which is concerned with the geography of development, which is interested in studying space, economic activities, and the potential and obstacles to future development. It was possible to use the Delphi method, which is one of the most important means of prediction and forecasting, by selecting the best alternative determined by the researcher or experts [25].

The basic idea of this method is to prioritize group opinion over personal opinion. By presenting several preliminary alternatives for sustainable urban development in the city of Al-Nukhayb, experts compare them according to the intentional sampling method and the first (inductive) and second (weighted) rounds, as shown in Table 6.

Table 6. Some information about the respondents (experts) participating in the first and second rounds of the questionnaire

T

Gender

Academic Rank

General and Minor Specializations

Number of Years of Experience

1

Male

Professor Doctor

Geography of Planning and Regional Development

42

2

Male

Professor Doctor

Geography of Cities

22

3

Male

Professor Doctor

Geography of Services

19

4

Male

Assistant Doctor

Civil Engineering

10

5

Male

Assistant Doctor

Architecture

33

Source: Based on the results of the questionnaire, Appendix 1

4.2.1 Proposed alternatives for sustainable urban development in the City of Al-Nukhayb

The first alternative: Desert Rose City

A sustainable, multi-use city shaped like a desert rose, which helps reduce electricity consumption and relies on self-generated renewable energy. The city also includes its own waste recycling facility, similar to the Sustainable City in the Al Ruwayyah area of Dubai in the United Arab Emirates [26].

The second alternative: Water City

The concept of the Water City is based on treating wastewater using an advanced treatment system and then reusing it to irrigate crops, contributing to environmental sustainability and ensuring the provision of clean water to citizens. This alternative achieved environmental sustainability when implemented in Stockholm [27].

The third alternative: Smart Sustainable City

An innovative city that relies on information and communications technology and other means to improve the efficiency of urban services, enhance quality of life, and enhance competitiveness, while ensuring the provision of the economic, social, and environmental needs of present and future generations [28].

The fourth alternative: The Productive City

It is the city that adopts environmental improvement and restores the relationship with the natural environment system, on which it depends to obtain the materials necessary for the continuity of the lives of its residents, and maintains mutual relations and interests with the surrounding unused lands by improving and increasing the production of the ecosystem in service of the city [29]. That is, transforming the city into a center of production rather than consumption, in addition to developing urban projects and infrastructure to increase and improve the level of self-sufficiency of the city in food, water and energy, and exploiting the semi-urban areas surrounding cities to achieve this, while increasing urban flexibility [30]:

4.2.2 Questionnaire method

The study employs two types of questionnaires, which are commonly used in the Delphi method [31].

  1. The open questionnaire: In this type, a set of questions was presented to the expert and he was asked to freely express his opinion. In this stage, the researcher presented four proposed alternatives for sustainable urban development in the city of Al-Nukhayb. These were then sent to the experts, along with a summary of each city. The experts expressed their opinions on the alternatives. Based on this, three alternatives were selected for the city of Al-Nukhayb, after the fourth alternative was excluded for the sake of competition. The best alternative was selected in the second round (the restricted questionnaire stage).
  2. Restricted Questionnaire (Weighted Questionnaire): This is a questionnaire presented by the researcher in the second round based on an analysis of the results of the first (open) questionnaire. The researcher also draws on the theoretical framework of the study, the researcher's opinion, and previous studies to design the questionnaire and establish criteria for this round. The expert is then asked to respond to the questionnaire items on a binary scale (agree, disagree) or on a graduated scale with multiple points to assign a relative weight to the importance of the criterion, for example, acceptable - average - good - very good - excellent. It is preferable to assign numbers to these items on the questionnaire sheet. After the questionnaire forms were collected, they were manually entered into a goal matrix table containing 15 criteria aimed at evaluating the effectiveness of the proposed alternatives. Each criterion was assigned five weighted scores, each assigned a number of points, as follows: (weak = one point, average = two points, good = three points, very good = four points, excellent = five points). This facilitates the process of entering them into the computer. The responses are then collected and evaluated to arrive at the best alternative (Appendix 1, Table 7).

After analyzing the questionnaire forms, the results appeared in the points shown in Table 8 and Figure 3. By analyzing the data from the same table using the Delphi method to compare alternatives, it became clear that the best alternative for sustainable urban development in the city of Al-Nukhayb is the first alternative, represented by the "Desert Rose City." This was followed by the third alternative, "The Productive City," while the weakest alternative was the second alternative, "The Water City."

Table 7. The criteria set for the alternatives presented for the city of Al-Nukhayb and the degree of each criterion according to experts

T

Standard

Alternative 1

Alternative 2

Alternative 3

Total

1

Protects the environment from pollution

19

17

12

48

2

Achieves a sustainable economic foundation

15

15

20

50

3

Achieves social justice

12

12

11

35

4

Achieves sustainable investment in natural and human potential

19

18

20

57

5

Achieves urban attraction

19

13

15

47

6

Achieves regional reciprocity

18

10

22

50

7

Relieves population pressure in major cities

15

10

14

39

8

Reduces unemployment and provides job opportunities

15

10

19

44

9

Provides a healthy and comfortable environment for residents

15

18

13

46

10

Uses sustainable building materials

16

12

14

42

11

Achieves urban agriculture

18

19

17

54

12

Provides infrastructure and superstructure services

17

15

15

47

13

Waste management and recycling

15

16

16

47

14

Achieves sustainable transportation

17

11

16

44

15

Achieves optimal water management

17

42

18

59

Total

 

247

220

242

709

Source: Based on the results of the questionnaire and Appendix 2

Table 8. Evaluation of the alternatives presented for the city of Al-Nukhayb by experts according to the weighting method

Alternative

Geography of Planning and Regional Development

Geography of Cities

Geography of Services

Civil Engineering

Architecture

The Total

 

n

%

n

%

n

%

n

%

n

%

n

%

A1

46

42.9

64

36.1

39

34.2

44

33

49

31.8

242

35.3

A2

30

28

57

32.2

38

33.3

34

25.5

54

35

213

31

A3

31

28.9

56

31.6

37

32.4

55

41.3

51

33.1

230

33.5

Size of the proportions

 

100

 

100

 

100

 

100

 

100

 

100

Note: number of points (n); percentage (%); Alternative (A).
Source: Based on the results of the questionnaire, Appendix 2

Figure 3. Evaluation of the alternatives presented for the city of Al-Nukhayb by experts according to the weighting method

Source: Based on Table 8

4.3 Sustainable urban development policies for the city of Al-Nukhayb

4.3.1 The housing sector

Sustainable urban development aims to provide adequate housing for various segments of society. From this perspective, to meet the housing needs of future generations in 2030, the city of Al-Nukhayb will require 784 housing units [32]. Housing sector development is not limited to providing housing units alone, but rather encompasses a set of requirements to create a sustainable city. These include the use of sustainable local building materials, such as natural stone and clay, to reduce energy consumption on air conditioning units. This includes adopting sustainable urban design for housing units, providing infrastructure, superstructure, and public services that serve the home and its occupants, and ensuring easy access from the home to service areas.

4.3.2 The agricultural sector

To achieve sustainable urban development in the city of Al-Nukhayb, an urban agriculture policy can be implemented, employing modern agricultural methods, from preparation and seeding to harvesting and marketing. Fields for raising and fattening calves and sheep can be built, as well as poultry, with a focus on high-quality breeds, while providing government veterinary services. Establishing palm farms and focusing on strategic grain crops (wheat and barley) will also be important. This will also include investing in the seasonal agricultural resource of truffles, a source of income for many of the city's residents.

4.3.3 The industrial sector

For industrial development to be sustainable in the city of Al-Nukhayb, it is necessary to create industrial projects that serve as growth poles that work to stabilize and attract residents and develop the city urbanly and economically in a way that enhances the opportunities for sustainable growth of the city in accordance with the available promising development potential, such as investing in the available development qualifications of labor, raw materials, capital, and available natural resources, especially in the construction industries and building materials, as gravel deposits and compost are present in the city, which are basic materials in the construction industries. And achieving agricultural-industrial economic integration, by establishing factories for leather and wool industries, a feed and grain grinding factory, and a factory for dairy, cheese and meat derivatives to provide livestock (Sheep and camels) in the city's region and its affiliated villages. Emphasis is placed on providing government support (financial, administrative, security, technical, marketing, and advisory).

4.3.4 The transportation sector

Transportation routes function like arteries in the human body, supplying the city with the necessities of life. To develop the transportation sector sustainably, the implementation of a smart transportation system, which aims to develop technologies that enhance safety, reduce fuel consumption and emissions, cut financial costs, optimize time, and provide comfort for people, will achieve sustainability goals. This is in addition to focusing on transportation routes by furnishing, planting trees, and paving the city's side streets with environmentally friendly natural stones instead of asphalt, using solar-powered traffic signs and lighting, and establishing modern rest stops in the city of Al-Nukhayb for travelers crossing the Arar border crossing into the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Sustainable transportation using bicycles, animals, walking, and hybrid vehicles, which are less polluting than conventional cars, will be encouraged. A train station will be established in the city of Al-Nukhayb and linked to the Ramadi train station. Emphasizing the need to expedite the completion of the Nukhayb-Ramadi road, which is one of the vital roads linking Nukhayb to the city of Ramadi.

4.3.5 The commercial sector

Sustainable development in this commercial sector can be achieved by supporting the agricultural and industrial sectors to benefit from inputs and outputs through the transport of raw materials and final goods between production and consumption areas, thus stimulating commercial activity. Establishing a free trade zone with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and establishing small commercial complexes supported by the state, by investing in model market buildings currently under construction.

4.3.6 The community services sector

This includes:

  1. Health Services: The health services development policy seeks to provide a sufficient number of health centers and their medical staff, in terms of quality and quantity, in a manner commensurate with the population size. Therefore, by 2030, the city will be self-sufficient with its existing health center, according to the surveying standard. As for the number of doctors, it will need 5 doctors, 2 dentists, 2 pharmacists, 34 health professionals, and 67 beds (Table 9).

Table 9. Future needs for health and education services in the cities of Al-Muhammadi and Al-Nukhayb for the year 2030

Population in 2030

Health Services

4704

Health Center

Doctor

Dentist

Pharmacist

Health Professions

Bed

1

5

2

2

14

29

Educational Services

Type of Educational Institution

Kindergarten

Elementary School

High School

1

5

2

Source: Table 5 [33]
  1. Educational Services: The educational services development policy aims to provide school buildings and teaching staff at an efficient level, as well as to locate school buildings in locations that ensure easy access and protect the safety of students. Therefore, by the year 2030 AD, the city will need one kindergarten, 2 elementary schools, and one secondary school (Table 9) to accommodate the increasing number of students and pupils in 2030 AD, and to provide laboratories, supplies, and modern teaching methods.
  2. Recreational Services: The vast desert areas of the city of Al-Nukhayb must be invested in by holding desert recreational activities such as night camping to observe the sky and stars, a shooting range, horse and camel riding, and free-range hunting. Tourist trips can be organized there, given the presence of enthusiasts of these activities, as well as those seeking the comfort and tranquility available in the city's desert, away from the hustle and bustle of large cities.

4.3.7 Infrastructure services

Infrastructure services include:

  1. Potable Water: The city will require 1,693,440 liters/capita/day (Table 10). This should not be overlooked due to the qualitative characteristics of potable water. Policies should be adopted to conserve and sustain water for future generations by: recycling graywater and using it to irrigate crops instead of potable water; rationalizing consumption in all daily uses; raising citizens' awareness of the importance of water and the need to conserve it quantitatively and qualitatively; and extending a water pipeline from Ramadi District to Al-Nukhayb City, which lacks any surface water source.
  2. Sanitation Services: The sanitation services development policy aims to include the city with a sewage network (drainage of heavy and rainwater) with treatment plants for this water, which can then be reused for washing streets, irrigating crops, or injecting it into the ground, and eliminating septic tanks that have negative environmental impacts. The amount of water that will be released in the year 2030 AD will be 658560 liters/day in the city of Al-Nukhayb (Table 10).

Table 10. Future projections for drinking water and wastewater in the city of Al-Nukhayb in 2030

Population in 2030

Water Quantity (Liters/Capita/Day) Based on a Standard of 360 Liters/Capita/Day [34]

4704

1693440

The amount of water discharged in liters/day according to the standard 140 liters/person/day [35]

658560

  1. Electricity Services: According to the standard 3.5 kilowatt-hours per capita/year [36], it was shown that the city will need 16,464 kilowatt-hours per capita/year in 2030. To sustain and develop the electricity services sector, it is possible to rely on clean, sustainable energy (solar and wind energy), especially with the availability of sufficient solar radiation hours to be used for electricity production at a rate of 9.3 hours. Wind energy speeds are suitable for electricity production during the spring and summer seasons, ranging between 5.1-4 m/s [37].
  2. Waste Disposal: Waste disposal is extremely important given the impact of waste on the environment, the general appearance of the city, and the economy, and its continuous and increasing generation with the city's population growth. The city will produce 1,646 tons/day in 2030, according to the standard 350 grams/capita/day. To organize the disposal of these quantities and invest them in a sustainable manner, a recycling policy must be adopted, and waste must be sorted by placing three containers: one for organic waste, one for plastic waste, and one for paper waste.
5. Conclusions and Proposals

5.1 Conclusions

1. The per capita share of all urban land uses is higher than the local planning standard, ensuring no pressure on uses within the city.

2. The city achieves functional efficiency for community services (health, education, and entertainment) according to the spatial standard and population size, with variations in functional efficiency relative to other criteria.

3. The best alternative for sustainable urban development chosen by experts is the Desert Rose City.

4. The availability of natural factors to achieve urban sustainability in the field of electricity production or the use of building materials such as natural stone, mud brick, and others.

5. Attention should be paid to infrastructure and superstructure services in the city to create a sustainable urban city.

6. Raise awareness among citizens and students in schools and kindergartens about the importance of sustainability in general and urban sustainability in particular.

7. Establish economic projects that improve the living conditions of residents, contributing to their stability in the city and serving as growth poles that attract projects and labor, contributing to its sustainable growth.

5.2 Proposals

1. Implementing the sustainable urban model developed using the Delphi method (Desert Rose City).

2. The necessity of working to implement the proposed policies for sustainable urban development, represented by (the development policy for the housing, agricultural, industrial, transportation, commercial, community services, and infrastructure sectors). If properly invested, they will contribute effectively to the city's growth by stabilizing and attracting residents and development projects.

3. Increasing the efficiency of health services provided to the city's residents, while emphasizing the need for medical and health personnel to be present at the health center.

4. The city currently needs one primary school to relieve the pressure on the Al-Nukhayb Mixed Primary School and to provide the city's schools with more teaching staff, commensurate with the number of students, according to local standards.

5. Investing in the natural and human resources of the cities of Al-Muhammadi and Al-Nukhayb to achieve sustainable urban development.

6. Expand and focus on green spaces within the city and on its outskirts, given their importance in providing recreation, their role in environmental protection, and their role as the lungs through which cities breathe.

7. Develop small cities and direct investments toward them by adopting well-thought-out development policies, which will alleviate the population pressure in large and medium-sized cities.

8. Emphasize the rapid completion of the Ramadi-Nukhayb road to connect the city to the governorate center, breaking its isolation, thus helping to increase regional connectivity.

Appendix

Appendix 1

M/Question

Dear Expert....................................

Given your expertise and academic integrity, you have been selected among a group of five experts with diverse scientific specializations to apply the Delphi method (expert opinion) to select the best alternative for sustainable urban development for the cities of Al-Muhammadi and Al-Nukhaib. This is for your doctoral thesis entitled: (Sustainable Urban Development of Small Cities (Al-Muhammadi and Al-Nukhaib) in Anbar Governorate), submitted by doctoral student Yazan Yassin Jabbar, and supervised by Prof. Dr. Amjad Rahim Muhammad. Please note that the questionnaire will consist of two rounds: the first round is inductive, and the second round is weighted. We kindly ask for your approval and to express your scholarly opinion regarding the selection of the best alternative, or to amend or add other alternatives as you deem appropriate.

With appreciation...

Expert Name ......... General and Specific Specializatio........... Academic Degree .........Place of Work....

Number of Years of Experience ..............

Proposed Alternatives for Sustainable Urban Development in the City of Al-Nukhayb

Alternative 1: Desert Rose City: A sustainable, multi-use city shaped like a desert rose, which helps reduce electricity consumption and relies on self-generated renewable energy. The city also includes its own waste recycling facility, similar to the Sustainable City in the Ruwayyah area of Dubai, United Arab Emirates.

Alternative 2: Water City: The concept of the Water City is based on treating wastewater using an advanced treatment system and then reusing it to irrigate crops, contributing to environmental sustainability and ensuring the provision of clean water to citizens. This alternative achieved environmental sustainability when implemented in Stockholm.

Alternative 3: Sustainable Smart City: An innovative city that relies on information and communications technology and other means to improve the efficiency of urban services, enhance quality of life, and enhance competitiveness, while ensuring the provision of the economic, social, and environmental needs of present and future generations.

Alternative 4: The Productive City: A city that embraces environmental improvement and reconnects with the natural ecosystem, upon which it relies for the materials necessary for the sustainability of its residents. It also maintains mutual relations and interests with the surrounding unused lands by improving and increasing the productivity of the ecosystem in service of the city. This includes transforming the city into a center of production, not consumption, in addition to developing urban projects and infrastructure to increase and enhance the city's level of self-sufficiency in food, water, and energy. This is achieved by utilizing the peri-urban areas surrounding cities to achieve this, while increasing vegetative resilience.

Expert Opinion: ………………………. Other proposed alternatives that can be mentioned: ........................

Appendix 2

M\Second Round Expert Questionnaire

Thesis Title: (Sustainable Urban Development of Small Cities (Al-Mohammadi and Al-Nukhaib) in Anbar Governorate)

Dear Expert Dr.............................

After the researcher considered your esteemed opinions in the first (inductive) round of the questionnaire, one of the alternatives presented was removed, leaving three alternatives for each city. Please evaluate each alternative separately according to the tables attached to each alternative, so that we can select the best alternative as the objective of our study and formulate a sustainable urban development policy for the cities in the study area (Al-Mohammadi and Al-Nukhaib) in Anbar Governorate. Thank you for your cooperation.

Supervised by PhD Student Yazan Yassin Jabbar

Prof. Dr. Amjad Rahim Muhammad

Dear Expert

Please respond by placing a check mark (Ö) in the appropriate place for each criterion.

Alternative One: Desert Rose City: A sustainable, multi-use city shaped like a desert rose, which helps reduce electricity consumption and relies on self-generated renewable energy. The city also includes its own waste recycling facility, similar to the Sustainable City in Al Ruwayyah, Dubai, United Arab Emirates.

Alternative Two: Water City: The Water City's concept is based on treating wastewater using an advanced treatment system and then reusing it to irrigate crops, contributing to environmental sustainability and ensuring the provision of clean water to citizens. This alternative has already achieved environmental sustainability when implemented in Stockholm.

Alternative Three: Sustainable Smart City: An innovative city that relies on information and communications technology and other means to improve the efficiency of urban services, enhance quality of life, and enhance competitiveness, while ensuring the economic, social, and environmental needs of present and future generations are met. The Fourth Alternative: The Productive City: A city that embraces environmental improvement and reconnects with the natural ecosystem, upon which it relies for the materials necessary for the sustainability of its residents. It also maintains mutual relations and interests with the surrounding unused lands by improving and increasing the productivity of the ecosystem in service of the city. This means transforming the city into a center of production, not consumption, in addition to developing urban projects and infrastructure to increase and enhance the city's self-sufficiency in food, water, and energy. This is achieved by exploiting the peri-urban areas surrounding cities to achieve this goal, while increasing vegetative resilience.

T

Standard

Alternative 1

Alternative 2

Alternative 3

Total

1

Protects the environment from pollution

 

 

 

 

2

Achieves a sustainable economic foundation

 

 

 

 

3

Achieves social justice

 

 

 

 

4

Achieves sustainable investment in natural and human potential

 

 

 

 

5

Achieves urban attraction

 

 

 

 

6

Achieves regional reciprocity

 

 

 

 

7

Relieves population pressure in major cities

 

 

 

 

8

Reduces unemployment and provides job opportunities

 

 

 

 

9

Provides a healthy and comfortable environment for residents

 

 

 

 

10

Uses sustainable building materials

 

 

 

 

11

Achieves urban agriculture

 

 

 

 

12

Provides infrastructure and superstructure services

 

 

 

 

13

Waste management and recycling

 

 

 

 

14

Achieves sustainable transportation

 

 

 

 

15

Achieves optimal water management

 

 

 

 

Total

Total

 

 

 

 

Note: Evaluation weights: (Weak = 1), (Average = 2), (Good = 3), (Very Good = 4), (Excellent = 5).
  References

[1] Yasra, H., Hakima, H. (2021). Planning desert cities according to the dimensions of sustainable development - the new city (Hassi Messaoud, Algeria) as a model. Journal of Business Research and Studies, 5(1): 155-173. https://asjp.cerist.dz/en/article/148793.

[2] Ali, D.K., Al-Dulaimi, Y.H.O., Jumaa, M.A.R. (2023). The tourism development strategy in the Anbar governorate. Dirasat: Human and Social Sciences, 50(6): 231-245. https://doi.org/10.35516/hum.v50i6.7055 

[3] Al-Hayawi, S.K.M. (2017). Reality and trends of urban growth of small cities in Al-Mahawil district. Master’s Thesis, University of Babylon, College of Education for Humanities. https://humanities.uobabylon.edu.iq/.

[4] Ali Al-Obaidi, L.E.A. (2013). A study in regional geography. Master’s Thesis, University of Anbar, College of Education for Humanities. https://search.mandumah.com/Author/Home?author=%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B9%D8%A8%D9%8A%D8%AF%D9%8A%D8%8C+%D9%84%D8%A8%D9%86%D9%89+%D8%B9%D8%B2%D8%AA+%D8%A3%D8%AD%D9%85%D8%AF+%D8%B9%D9%84%D9%8A.

[5] Israel, G.D. (1992). Sampling the evidence of extension program impact. Gainesville, FL: University of Florida Cooperative Extension Service, Institute of Food and Agriculture Sciences, EDIS. https://edis.ifas.ufl.edu/publication/PD005.

[6] Hamad, M.B., Mikhlif, A.M. (2025). Demographic shift in the age structure of the population of Anbar Province (Ramadi District as a model) (1997-2023). International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning, 20(4): 1709-1719. https://doi.org/10.18280/ijsdp.200432 

[7] Republic of Iraq. (2023). Ministry of water resources. Directorate of General Survey, Administrative Map of Iraq and Anbar, scale (1:1,000,000). https://iasj.rdd.edu.iq/journals/uploads/2025/07/18/052c1ea61de7a9ea13d4575bd0c11a28.pdf.

[8] Municipality, N. Design Division, Urban Planning (1:25,000). https://gdup.moch.gov.iq/.

[9] Al Ania, A.A.A., Al Kubaisib, A.R.M. (2020). Morphology of residential housing of Al Fallujah City. International Journal of Innovation, Creativity and Change, 14(10): 814-840. 

[10] Hamad, M.B., Mikhlif, A.M. (2025). Demographic shift in the age structure of the population of Anbar Province (Ramadi District as a model) (1997-2023). International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning, 20(4): 1709-1719. https://doi.org/10.18280/ijsdp.200432 

[11] Municipality, A.N. (2019). Design Division, Urban Planning, Scale (1:25000), Basic Design of Al-Nukhaib City. https://gdup.moch.gov.iq/%D8%B9%D9%86-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D8%AF%D9%8A%D8%B1%D9%8A%D8%A9/.

[12] Municipality, A.N. (2019). Design division, urban planning. Scale (1:25,000), Basic Design for Al-Nukhayb City. https://gdup.moch.gov.iq/.

[13] Ramel, K.A., AL Mehemdi, Y.H., Awad, A.Y. (2024). Analysis of the trends of change in temperature and precipitation and their impact on water in Anbar governorate (1980-2023). Dirasat: Human and Social Sciences, 51(5): 16-32. https://doi.org/10.35516/hum.v51i5.10019

[14] Matar, M.M.Y.Y.J., Abdullah, A.R.M. (2024). Efficiency of community services distribution to small cities in Anbar Governorate (Al-Muhammadi City as a model). Journal of Sustainable Studies, 6(4). https://www.joss-iq.org/2024/12/01/%d9%83%d9%81%d8%a7%d8%a1%d8%a9-%d8%aa%d9%88%d8%b2%d9%8a%d8%b9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%ae%d8%af%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%aa-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%ac%d8%aa%d9%85%d8%b9%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d9%84%d9%84%d9%85%d8%af%d9%86-%d8%a7/. 

[15] Anbar Water Directorate, Planning Department. (2024). https://municipalities.moch.gov.iq/index.php/a-c/.

[16] Ramadi Electricity Distribution Directorate. (2024). Support Units and Diesel Division, 2024. https://med.moelc.gov.iq/.

[17] Ministry of Health. (2024). Anbar Governorate Health Directorate, Statistics Division. https://moh.gov.iq/.

[18] Hammad, L., Abd Al-Hussein, Q., Ghadeeb, M. (2020). Geographical analysis of the phenomenon of functional and urban change in the Andalus and teachers neighborhoods within the city of Ramadi. Dirasat: Human and Social Sciences, 47(2).‏ https://archives.ju.edu.jo/index.php/hum/article/view/107443.

[19] Sayel, J.J., Khalaf, A.M., Al-Bayati, A.H.I. (2025). Spatial distribution of some soil characteristics of Ramadi district, western Iraq. International Journal of Environmental Impacts, 8(1): 103-111. https://doi.org/10.18280/ijei.080111

[20] Ministry of Health. (2011). Department of Resources Management, Vital Statistics Section, Labor Force Survey, Fifth Edition. https://planning.moh.gov.iq/?topic=8.

[21] General Directorate of Education. (2024). Anbar Governorate, Directorate of Educational Planning, Statistics Division. https://epedu.gov.iq/?topic=1.

[22] Jumaah, M.T., Kazkuz, K.S. (2025). Assessing the efficiency and development potential of community services in rural Al-Qaim. International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning, 20(3): 1123-1131. https://doi.org/10.18280/ijsdp.200318

[23] Ministry of Construction and Housing. (2010). General Housing Authority, Studies Division, Urban Housing Standards Booklet. https://investpromo.gov.iq/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/URBAN-HOUSING-STANDARDS_Ar.pdf.

[24] Al-Kubaisi, A.R.M., Al-Anbaky, Hadi, K.A. (2020). Urban polarization and its impact on the urban structure of Baqubah City. University of Jordan, Deanship of Scientific Research, 47(2): 471-485. https://archives.ju.edu.jo/index.php/hum/article/view/107452/11510.

[25] Ahmed, M.D. (2009). Modern trends in geographical research using the Delphi method. Anbar University Journal for Humanities, 4(3): 43. 

[26] Ali, D.K., Al-Dulaimi, Y.H.O., Jumaa, M.A.R. (2023). The tourism development strategy in the Anbar governorate. Dirasat: Human and Social Sciences, 50(6): 231-245. https://doi.org/10.35516/hum.v50i6.7055

[27] Urban Sustainability. Designing Cities and Communities to Achieve Environmental and Social Sustainability. An article published on the Arab Network for Excellence and Sustainability. https://sustainabilityexcellence.com.

[28] Ali, B., Salh, A., Fayyadh, A. (2024). Morphometric inferences of the Euphrates River islands and the possibility of their development through the analysis of remote sensing data and geographic information systems. International Journal of Geoinformatics, 20(11): 74-89. https://doi.org/10.52939/ijg.v20i11.3687

[29] Abdulwahab, K., Rizqo, N.J. (2017). Urban agriculture: An ecological application of the productive city. Engineering Journal, 23(9): 66. https://doi.org/10.18280/ijsdp.160705

[30] World Future Council. (2014). Imagine a Regenerative City. Hamburg: World Future Council. https://www.almaniah.com/articles/view/218.

[31] Ahmed, M.D. (2002). Modern Trends in Geographical Research Using the Delphi Method, p. 44. https://www.iasj.net/iasj/download/cb5b048ae77bd0e3.

[32] Ghadeeb, M. (2020). The planning problems and defects that accompanied the development of the basic plans for the city of Ramadi. Dirasat: Human and Social Sciences, 47(2). https://archives.ju.edu.jo/index.php/hum/article/view/107532. 

[33] Ali, B., Globe, L., Salh, A. (2025). Analyzing directional urban sprawl from 1978 to 2023 using Shannon entropy analysis on Landsat imagery: A case study in Ramadi city, Iraq. International Journal of Geoinformatics, 21(3): 62-70. https://doi.org/10.52939/ijg.v21i3.3995

[34] Saleh, A.A., Al-Mohammadi, A.R.M.J. (2023). A spatial analysis of educational services in the city of Fallujah for the period from the beginning of the twentieth century until the establishment of the Republic. AIP Conference Proceedings, 2793(1): 060017. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0164807

[35] Ministry of Planning, Ministry of Planning Strategic Plan 2022-2025, 2022 AD. p. 87. https://mop.gov.iq/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/stplan.pdf.

[36] Al-Timimi, Y.K., AL-Lami, A.M., Basheer, F.S., Awad, A.Y. (2024). Impacts of climate change on thermal bioclimatic indices over Iraq. Iraqi Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 55(2): 744-756. https://doi.org/10.36103/j93nst49

[37] Al-Rawi, A.S. (1990). Qusay Abdul Majeed Al-Samarra’i. Applied Climate, University of Baghdad, p. 293. https://books.geojamal.com/2019/10/pdf-2008.html?m=0.